LIVE: Tracking Hurricane Dorian; Forecast East Central Florida Landfall on Monday AM


Puerto Rico dodged a bullet as Hurricane Dorian edged the commonwealth. The island suffered some power outages and one person died while prepping for the storm, but by and large Dorian spared the island – perhaps saving its worst for Florida.

The National Hurricane Center (NHC) released during its 11 a.m. (AST, Atlantic Standard Time) advisory that Hurricane Dorian was about 220 miles north-northwest of San Juan, Puerto Rico and 370 miles east-southeast of the Bahamas. Hurricane Dorian, still packing maximum sustained winds of 85 mph, was moving at 13 mph as it entered the open — and warmer — waters of the southern Atlantic.

Hurricane Dorian Advisory Number 21
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Dorian was
located near latitude 21.4 North, longitude 67.2 West. Dorian is
moving toward the northwest near 13 mph (20 km/h), and this general
motion is expected to continue through Friday. A west-northwestward motion is forecast to begin by Friday night and continue into the weekend. On this track, Dorian should move over the Atlantic well east of the southeastern and central Bahamas today and on Friday, approach the northwestern Bahamas Saturday, and move near or over portions of the northwest Bahamas on Sunday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 85 mph (140 km/h) with higher
gusts. Strengthening is forecast during the next few days, and
Dorian is expected to become a major hurricane on Friday, and remain an extremely dangerous hurricane through the weekend.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km).

The minimum central pressure based on data from a NOAA Hurricane
Hunter aircraft is 986 mb (29.12 inches).

RAINFALL: Dorian is expected to produce the following rainfall
accumulations this weekend into early next week:

The central Bahamas…1 to 2 inches, isolated 4 inches.
The northwestern Bahamas…3 to 6 inches, isolated 8 inches.
Coastal sections of the Southeast United States…4 to 8 inches,
isolated 12 inches.

This rainfall may cause life-threatening flash floods.

SURF: Swells around the U.S. and British Virgin Islands and
Puerto Rico should gradually diminish today. Swells are likely to
begin affecting the east-facing shores of the Bahamas and the
southeastern United States coast during the next few days. These
swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current
conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office.

Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.



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