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Storm Prediction Center Places Illinois, Missouri, Arkansas, Louisiana, Mississipi, Alabama, Tennessee, Kentucky, Indiana In Tornado Risk Area

Tue January 29 2013 11:25 am  https://www.arlingtoncardinal.com/?p=58733
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20130129-1020severe
Severe weather outlook issued at 10:20 a.m. CST (See also spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook).

The NOAA Storm Prediction Center at 10:00 a.m. has placed a slight risk of severe thunderstorms and at least a 2% risk of a tornado for most of Illinois. At least a 5% risk of a tornado has been placed over the southern half of the state. The southern tip of Illinois has at least a 10% risk of a tornado. Earlier this morning the northern Chicago suburbs were included in the 2% zone for risk of a tornado, but the zone was contracted about 10:00 a.m. CST.

While the overall risk zone contracted away from the north suburbs, the higher risk area of severe weather has been expanded and now includes almost all of Arkansas, far southern Illinois, western Kentucky, western Tennessee, northwest Mississippi, and northern Louisiana.

Generally this type of outlook is reliably correlated with a future confirmed tornado or multiple tornados somewhere in the risk areas. The greatest severe risk is expected this evening and tonight.

Thunderstorms are still likely in the north and northwest suburbs, and a Flood Watch is in effect. It is not unlikely that a Severe Thunderstorm Warning could be issued in northern Chicagoland with the greatest chance for storms and heavy rain between 6:00 p.m. and midnight Tuesday. Rainfall amounts of 1-2 inches are possible in the northwest suburbs from about 11:00 a.m. until 3:00 p.m. Wednesday.

Air Temperatures at about 9:50 a.m.
Arlington Heights … 61°F
Atlanta … 62°F (10:52 ET)
Baton Rouge … 73°F
Champaign … 59°F
Metropolis … 64°F
Nashville … 61°F
St. Louis … 68°F

Chicago’s temperature of 59°F at 6:00 a.m. CT tied the all-time weather record for January 29. Chicago Executive Airport reported 60°F at 6:00 a.m.


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CLEAR SKIES?  Weather Data for Tuesday, January 29th, 2013

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  • Current Conditions : 28.6F, Light Freezing Rain - 2:11 PM CST Jan. 22
    Temperature: 28.6°F | Humidity: 93% | Pressure: 30.02in (Rising) | Conditions: Light Freezing Rain | Wind Direction: South | Wind Speed: 0mph
  • Winter Weather Advisory - Expires: 12:00 AM CST
    Winter Weather Advisory for Cook County in effect until 12:00 AM CST on January 23, 2019
  • Rest of Today as of Jan. 22 8:59 AM CST
    Rest of Today - Areas of freezing drizzle in the morning, then a wintry mix including freezing rain in the afternoon. Light snow accumulation under an inch possible. Ice accumulation around one tenth of an inch. Highs in the mid 30s. South winds 10 to 20 mph. Chance of measurable precipitation 100 percent.
  • Wednesday as of Jan. 22 8:59 AM CST
    Wednesday - Cloudy. Light snow likely and a slight chance of light freezing rain in the morning. Little or no snow accumulation. No ice accumulation. Highs in the lower 30s. Then temperatures falling into the lower 20s by evening. West winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph. Chance of precipitation 70 […]
  • Tonight as of Jan. 22 8:59 AM CST
    Tonight - Rain and freezing rain in the evening, changing to snow northwest suburbs overnight. Snow accumulation up to 1 inches northwest suburbs. Ice accumulation up to one tenth of an inch. Lows in the upper 20s. South winds 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 100 percent.

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